HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT

Hurricane Watch  Beginning: 2022-09-26T09:12:00

COASTAL MANATEE 

512 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2022 

…HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT… 

…STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT… 

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE  WITHIN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS 

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING  WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IS POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN  THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS 

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED 

– BRADENTON 

– ANNA MARIA ISLAND 

* WIND 

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: EQUIVALENT STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE  WIND 

– PEAK WIND FORECAST: 50-65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH 

– WINDOW FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS: EARLY WEDNESDAY  MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST  UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND  GREATER THAN 110 MPH 

– THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE  

PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. 

– PLAN: PLAN FOR EXTREME WIND OF EQUIVALENT CAT 3 HURRICANE  FORCE OR HIGHER. 

– PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE  UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR CATASTROPHIC WIND DAMAGE. 

– ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND  BECOMES HAZARDOUS. 

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC 

– STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE  ROOF AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE  HOMES. DAMAGE GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE  PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR  MONTHS.

– NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES  AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. 

– MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN  URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS,  AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE. 

– WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. 

* STORM SURGE 

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE POSSIBLE – PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 5-8 FEET  ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS – WINDOW OF CONCERN: EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY  AFTERNOON 

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST  UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM  SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND – THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS  ASSESSMENT. 

– PLAN: PLAN FOR LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OF  GREATER THAN 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND. 

– PREPARE: EVACUATION PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY.  ASSEMBLE DISASTER SUPPLIES AND KNOW YOUR EVACUATION ROUTE. – ACT: LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA.  FAILURE TO HEED EVACUATION ORDERS MAY RESULT IN THE LOSS OF  YOUR LIFE. 

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE 

– LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING  ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO  BUILDINGS, WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY  FLOATING DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN  EXTENDED PERIOD. 

– LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY  ROADS WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS  AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED. 

– SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS. – MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY  SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN  UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND  STRANDED. 

* FLOODING RAIN 

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:  

– PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 8-10 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY  HIGHER AMOUNTS 

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST  UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR  FLOODING RAIN

– THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM  THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. 

– PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR  MAJOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE  LIKELY. 

– PREPARE: STRONGLY CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS, ESPECIALLY  IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. 

– ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE  ACTION WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. 

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE 

– MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND  RESCUES. 

– RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN  MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES  MAY BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND  BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED. 

– FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE  COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR  WASHED AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER  ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF  MOVING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS  BECOME DANGEROUS. MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME  WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT. 

* TORNADO 

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:  

– SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES 

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST  UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR A FEW  TORNADOES 

– THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE  PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. 

– PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR A  FEW TORNADOES. 

– PREPARE: IF YOUR SHELTER IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO  TORNADOES, PREPARE TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE  HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. 

– ACT: IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER  QUICKLY. 

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED 

– THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE  EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. – A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH  POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS. 

– LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS,  CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR  OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, 

SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN  OFF ROADS, AND BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.