Hurricane Watch Beginning: 2022-09-26T09:12:00

COASTAL MANATEE

512 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2022

…HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT…

…STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IS POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

– BRADENTON

– ANNA MARIA ISLAND

* WIND

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: EQUIVALENT STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND

– PEAK WIND FORECAST: 50-65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH

– WINDOW FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS: EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND GREATER THAN 110 MPH

– THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE

PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.

– PLAN: PLAN FOR EXTREME WIND OF EQUIVALENT CAT 3 HURRICANE FORCE OR HIGHER.

– PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR CATASTROPHIC WIND DAMAGE.

– ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS.

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC

– STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.

– NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.

– MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.

– WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* STORM SURGE

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE POSSIBLE – PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 5-8 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS – WINDOW OF CONCERN: EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND – THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.

– PLAN: PLAN FOR LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

– PREPARE: EVACUATION PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY. ASSEMBLE DISASTER SUPPLIES AND KNOW YOUR EVACUATION ROUTE. – ACT: LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. FAILURE TO HEED EVACUATION ORDERS MAY RESULT IN THE LOSS OF YOUR LIFE.

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE

– LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS, WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.

– LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.

– SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS. – MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.

* FLOODING RAIN

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

– PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 8-10 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING RAIN

– THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.

– PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE LIKELY.

– PREPARE: STRONGLY CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS, ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING.

– ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE.

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE

– MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES.

– RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.

– FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS. MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADO

– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

– SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

– THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES

– THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.

– PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES.

– PREPARE: IF YOUR SHELTER IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO TORNADOES, PREPARE TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES.

– ACT: IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY.

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED

– THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. – A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.

– LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF,

SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.