2023 NFL MVP race, odds: Patrick Mahomes favorite; Jalen Hurts gaining ground

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National Football League

Nov. 6, 2023 4:16 p.m. ET

Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts went toe-to-toe in Super Bowl LVII in February, with Mahomes’ Kansas City Chiefs winning 38-35. Now, the two quarterbacks — plus another big name — are tangled in a tussle for NFL MVP this season.

And that other big name is Lamar Jackson. 

The Ravens’ quarterback is the new favorite to win league MVP, and tied with him on the oddsboard are Mahomes and Hurts — all at +350.

Jackson climbed to the very top of the board after Baltimore’s decisive victory over the Seahawks in Week 9 by a score of 37-3. Before that win, his odds to win NFL MVP were +600.

Behind him is Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts, whose MVP odds sit at +350 after the Eagles’ impressive 28-23 win over the Dallas Cowboys. Hurts threw for 207 yards and two touchdowns in the victory.

Roudning out the three-way tie is reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes. He helped lead the Chiefs to a 21-14 victory over the Miami Dolphins in Frankfurt, Germany.

Here’s a closer look at the current odds to win NFL MVP at DraftKings.


Lamar Jackson, Ravens: +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins: +650 (bet $10 to win $75 total)Joe Burrow, Bengals: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)Christian McCaffrey, 49ers: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)Josh Allen, Bills: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)Brock Purdy, 49ers: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)Tyreek Hill, Dolphins: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)Jared Goff, Lions: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)Justin Herbert: Chargers: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)Dak Prescott, Cowboys: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

* odds as of 11/6/2023

Hurts and the Eagles have the league’s best record at 8-1, and he is 25-2 as a starter in his career. 

FOX Sports Dallas Cowboys insider David Helman called the Eagles “the scariest team in the NFL right now.”

Chiefs beat Dolphins despite Mahomes being held scoreless in second half

“In a league full of parity, the one-loss team is king.”

Helman said despite Philadelphia’s issues with turnovers — 13, tied for sixth-worst in the league — having the league’s best record says something.

“It is still impressive that the Eagles are able to overcome it and win games, a lot of times convincingly, despite those struggles,” Helman said.

“They are the most consistent thing going officially — that is not a matter of opinion, you can see it in the standings.”

Eagles showed they are the better team in 28-23 win vs. Cowboys

While Hurts has a plethora of weapons at his disposal — Philly’s top two wideouts A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith had a combined 15 receptions, 229 yards and three touchdowns on Sunday — FOX Sports’ Colin Cowherd, host of “The Herd,” said Mahomes is hindered by a lack of a supporting cast, outside of tight end Travis Kelce.

“You just look at the AFC — forget the NFC — Baltimore’s got better weapons, Chargers have better weapons, Jags have better weapons, Cincinnati’s got better weapons, Miami’s got better weapons,” Cowherd said. “They maybe have a BB gun offense – Pittsburgh’s got better weapons. They don’t stack up in the AFC outside of Travis Kelce, and there’s a lot of miles on Travis Kelce’s legs.”

Dallas QB Dak Prescott threw four touchdown passes in Sunday’s 32-20 win over the Rams and saw his MVP odds shorten to +3300 from +4000.

Lastly, one of the biggest fallers in the MVP race is 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy. 

Purdy’s odds lengthened from +1400 last week to +3000 this week. He is also 0-3 in his last three games while throwing three touchdowns and five interceptions. 

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